Paid For Making Bad Decisions

Is part of poker. I made some poor ones last night at 2-5 nl HE Foxwoods.

1. I bought in for 200. I had 99 on the button. folded to the 30ishman two to my right who opens for 40$
I call, young Asian in sb calls. I just joined the table, no specific reads, they each had around 500$.

I was pondering a pf shove. Why raise so much? I had read somewhere that live players call too much pf so you should put in overbets with big pairs. I didn't like folding 9s to a late postion opener, nor calling, shoving might have been best in a tournament, I am still not sure what to do in a new ring game.

Flop 10 8 7 rainbow.Pot=125$. Sb leads 75$, pfr folds.

I had 158 remaining and the pot is 200$. And shoved, sb insta calls. Turn 6 and I showed my 99, he mucked, said the usual 'nice hand' and that was that.

I am sure that I was behind. I don't think anything, even A7s can bet that flop as a bluff into tow people. Not having an equity guess committed to memory, I just decided that an OESD was worth a try.


ext results appended to pokerstove.txt
273,240 games 0.005 secs 54,648,000 games/sec
Board: Tc 8d 7h
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 36.717% 33.85% 02.87% 92481 7845.00 { 99 }
Hand 1: 63.283% 60.41% 02.87% 165069 7845.00 { QQ-77, ATs, KTs, QTs, J8s+, T8s+, 98s, 87s }

Using that arbirtrary range I was getting 1.78: on a 1.79: shot. does that mean I profit if I can get 1% of fold equity?

Could I have gotten away from J3?

To inaugurate this blog: How Deadmoney stacked off with J3s.

So I was up last night until I called off about 250$ with J3 of spades. I would rather have folded that. It was 1/2 nl holdem and I straddled. There was a raise to 12$ so I was getting decent odds on the preflop call (8:68ish). On the flop of 9s 8s 7c I had a flush draw and a gutshot.

Against the 2 guys I was getting roughly 2:1 on the call, it cost me about three calls totaling 230$ to reach the showdown. They had a set of 8s and 10-9s in clubs respectively. I called, the set of 8s won as he deserved to.

My first ever pokerstove (I'm a late bloomer) gave my equity at 31%. It was pretty much an even money decision in hindsight when I knew what they had. No image could be gained since I was going to leave soon anyway.

However I 'm not proud of it. I need to make money, not justify even money bets after the fact. I also think that if I spread out their ranges to include larger flush draws then it becomes a much worse call. But actually it would be the calls because the betting was staggered and each individual bet seemingly offered good pot odds. There I go justifying again.